- GBP/USD has fallen for the fourth consecutive day.
- Downbeat data from the united KINGDOM, brexit/virus-fears-keep the british Pound, heavy.
- The Dollar remains firm amid broad risk-off sentiment.
- WE Unemployment compensation may extend to the lower trajectory.
GBP/USD has dropped to the 1.2210, down 0.16% on the day, while heading towards the London open on Thursday. The pair has recently refused to 1.2204, the lowest since April 07, before bouncing back, just to stay close to the bottom.
While downbeat, the united KINGDOM and even more, including the lack of data, a corona virus outbreak and the “brexit” worry, keep the pair of heavy, broad dollar strength seems to be all.
The usd takes the bids because of its safe-haven demand, while playing with the odds of the Fed’s negative interest rates. The risk aversion of the wave that has recently acquired cues from the second wave of the spread of the virus in major economies such as the us-China tussle. That said, the Dollar Index (DXY), a gauge of the dollar against the major currencies, index 0.07% gains 100.28 for a time of writing.
On the other hand, on Friday, the highlight of the performance, the UK’s data dump, push, the British minister, Rishi Sunak to saying: “It is now very likely that the UK economy will face a major recession this year, and we are already in the middle of it as we speak,” by the BBC.
However, the BOOKS The governor, Andrew Bailey, and a renewed hope that the united KINGDOM, the central bank can help the country to overcome the additional debt piled up during the virus of the crisis and to avoid the necessity of austerity.
The difference, “brexit” negotiations continue to blink and the mix of indices, with the latest one in The Guardian suggests that the government has privately conceded it will be after brexit controls on goods crossing the irish Sea, months after, Boris Johnson, insisted there would be no such barriers to trade.
In the united states, Jobless claims for the week ended 08-may-help-the – The US dollar to the extent that his last race, if the pairing of the 2500K forecast compared to 3169K before. Considering this, TD Securities, said, “Google is a search activity suggests that unemployment insurance claims will fall again, with the level is still high. We expect a drop of around 2.7 mn to 3.2 mn last week, and 6.9 million in the last week of March. Claims have averaged 212k per week during the first 10 weeks of the year.”
Technical analysis
GBP/USD bears his downside break of an ascending trend-line from the 24th of March. As a result, the sellers keep the hope of the target 1.2130 support, including, on March 18, and March 27 is the lowest. Otherwise, the pair back-moves-beyond-the-support-turned-resistance line of 1.2285 will be a 10-day EMA, and a two-week old descending trend-line, respectively, around 1.2330 and 1.2355, as the next upside barriers.